Bohemians 1-0 Shamrock Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - FAI Cup, 19 Jul 2024

📅19/07/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.17
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
39%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.3
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.58
6+ Goals
10%
14.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.3 — our 28% vs market 24.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
28%
+4.7pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
40%
Away Win
45%
-5.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.3pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bohemians EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Shamrock Rovers EU Bookmakers 49%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
1.21/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.44/0.80
-47% / -52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -60% / +142%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
223 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bohemians
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Shamrock Rovers
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.81 xG 1.28
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
226 Passes 349
70% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 27
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.05.2024 Bohemians Bohemians 1-1 HT 1-1 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
29.03.2024 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 3-1 HT 0-0 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
01.09.2023 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 3-0 HT 1-0 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
23.06.2023 Bohemians Bohemians 2-2 HT 0-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
05.05.2023 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 2-0 HT 0-0 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
07.04.2023 Bohemians Bohemians 0-2 HT 0-1 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bohemians
1-0
AWAY Shamrock Rovers
64% Ball Possession 36%
3 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 0
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bohemians vs Shamrock Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bohemians edged past Shamrock Rovers 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 28% / 40% — and on the day Bohemians made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Bohemians had 64% of the ball to Shamrock Rovers's 36%, shots finished 3-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shamrock Rovers led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Bohemians and 2.17 for Shamrock Rovers.

What was the final score of Bohemians vs Shamrock Rovers?

Bohemians 1-0 Shamrock Rovers in the Ireland - FAI Cup on 19/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bohemians vs Shamrock Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shamrock Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Bohemians 33%, draw 28%, Shamrock Rovers 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Shamrock Rovers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shamrock Rovers) ✓ Under 2.5
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