Burgos 0-0 Las Palmas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 7 Sep 2025

Burgos
0-0 HT 0-0
Las Palmas
📅07/09/2025 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2025/2026

Burgos vs Las Palmas Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.18
Draw
24%
2.94
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.52
Over 2.5
50%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.06
No
49%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.19
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.95
X/1
19%
4.62
X/2
11%
6.54
X/X
13%
3.63
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
32.0
2/2
16%
5.43
2/X
6%
14.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 32.0 — our 7% vs market 1.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+1.4pp
24%
Draw
30%
-6.1pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+4.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
62%
-11.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
38%
+11.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.4pp
49%
BTTS No
56%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Burgos v Las Palmas — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Burgos EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Las Palmas EU Bookmakers 31%
+13% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +20%
1.30/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.23
-6% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +3%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
294 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 77%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
18.8 Crosses 14.8
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6

Burgos vs Las Palmas Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Burgos
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Las Palmas
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.64 xG 0.92
33% Ball Possession 67%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
212 Passes 552
69% Pass Accuracy 87%
16 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.02.2023 Burgos Burgos 0-0 HT 0-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS2
01.11.2022 Las Palmas Las Palmas 0-2 HT 0-0 Burgos Burgos İS2
13.02.2022 Las Palmas Las Palmas 0-2 HT 0-0 Burgos Burgos İS2
20.09.2021 Burgos Burgos 0-0 HT 0-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS2

Burgos 0-0 Las Palmas — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Burgos
0-0
AWAY Las Palmas
0.42 xG 1.41
39% Ball Possession 61%
6 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
251 Passes 461
75% Pass Accuracy 87%
18 Box Touches 17
12 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Burgos vs Las Palmas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Burgos and Las Palmas played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Burgos at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Burgos had 39% of the ball to Las Palmas's 61%, shots finished 6-15, expected goals 0.42 to 1.41.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Burgos had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Burgos and 0.00 for Las Palmas.

What was the final score of Burgos vs Las Palmas?

Burgos 0-0 Las Palmas in the Spain - 2nd Division on 07/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Burgos vs Las Palmas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Burgos win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Burgos 44%, draw 24%, Las Palmas 32%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Burgos) ✗ BTTS Yes
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