Ceuta 2-1 Huesca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 7 Sep 2025

Ceuta
2-1 HT 1-0
Huesca
📅07/09/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
37%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.45
Over 2.5
38%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.19
No
54%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.0
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
5.94
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
36%
-2.2pp
29%
Draw
31%
-1.9pp
37%
Away Win
33%
+4.0pp
62%
Under 2.5
65%
-3.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
35%
+3.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.6pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ceuta EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Huesca EU Bookmakers 37%
-54% / -54% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -5%
0.93/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/0.98
-100% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -10%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
301 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 79%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
26.0 Crosses 19.4
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ceuta
2-1
AWAY Huesca
1.69 xG 0.55
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 0
349 Passes 290
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
30 Box Touches 11
24 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ceuta vs Huesca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ceuta nicked a narrow win over Huesca 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 29% / 37% — and on the day Ceuta made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ceuta had 53% of the ball to Huesca's 47%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 1.69 to 0.55.

What was the final score of Ceuta vs Huesca?

Ceuta 2-1 Huesca in the Spain - 2nd Division on 07/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ceuta vs Huesca?

Before kick-off our model rated an Huesca win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Ceuta 33%, draw 29%, Huesca 37%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Huesca) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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