Almeria 2-3 Racing Santander — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 7 Sep 2025

Almeria
2-3 HT 2-0
Racing Santander
📅07/09/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2025/2026

Almeria vs Racing Santander Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.76
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
22%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.29
Over 2.5
55%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.55
No
43%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.45
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
23%
2.74
6+ Goals
13%
7.54
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
15%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
52%
+4.0pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.2pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-1.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
40%
+5.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
60%
-5.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.8pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Almeria v Racing Santander — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almeria EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Santander EU Bookmakers 27%
+4% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +5%
1.90/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.31
+27% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / -9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
326 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 78%
27.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
19.4 Crosses 14.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7

Almeria vs Racing Santander Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Almeria
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Racing Santander
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.82 xG 1.10
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
330 Passes 250
77% Pass Accuracy 72%
23 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.05.2025 Almeria Almeria 2-0 HT 1-0 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
18.08.2024 Racing Santander Racing Santander 2-2 HT 2-0 Almeria Almeria İS2
07.02.2020 Almeria Almeria 0-1 HT 0-1 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
24.08.2019 Racing Santander Racing Santander 1-1 HT 1-0 Almeria Almeria İS2
14.01.2014 Almeria Almeria 0-2 HT 0-0 Racing Santander Racing Santander İSPK
08.01.2014 Racing Santander Racing Santander 1-1 HT 0-1 Almeria Almeria İSPK

Almeria 2-3 Racing Santander — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Almeria
2-3
AWAY Racing Santander
1.69 xG 1.15
42% Ball Possession 58%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 3
323 Passes 485
81% Pass Accuracy 88%
19 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Almeria vs Racing Santander
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Santander edged past Almeria 3-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Almeria at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Almeria had 42% of the ball to Racing Santander's 58%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.69 to 1.15 — the balance of chances actually favoured Almeria.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Racing Santander led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Almeria and 1.17 for Racing Santander.

What was the final score of Almeria vs Racing Santander?

Almeria 2-3 Racing Santander in the Spain - 2nd Division on 07/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almeria vs Racing Santander?

Before kick-off our model rated a Almeria win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Almeria 56%, draw 22%, Racing Santander 22%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Almeria) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Almeria) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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