Racing Santander 2-2 Almeria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.9
Over 2.5
45%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.68
No
55%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.4
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.49
6+ Goals
9%
13.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.4 — our 31% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.63
1/2
6%
29.0
1/X
7%
12.75
X/1
14%
5.51
X/2
12%
5.69
X/X
14%
4.57
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
20%
3.8
2/X
5%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.6pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.9pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
49%
+6.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
51%
-6.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.5pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Santander EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Almeria EU Bookmakers 39%
+4% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +4%
1.49/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.23
+37% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +2%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
284 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 76%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
14.5 Crosses 14.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Santander
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Almeria
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.53 xG 1.34
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
220 Passes 331
68% Pass Accuracy 75%
8 Box Touches 20
7 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.02.2020 Almeria Almeria 0-1 HT 0-1 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
24.08.2019 Racing Santander Racing Santander 1-1 HT 1-0 Almeria Almeria İS2
14.01.2014 Almeria Almeria 0-2 HT 0-0 Racing Santander Racing Santander İSPK
08.01.2014 Racing Santander Racing Santander 1-1 HT 0-1 Almeria Almeria İSPK
05.05.2013 Almeria Almeria 2-1 HT 1-1 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
02.12.2012 Racing Santander Racing Santander 3-4 HT 1-3 Almeria Almeria İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Santander
2-2
AWAY Almeria
2.95 xG 2.10
37% Ball Possession 63%
12 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 7
206 Passes 421
67% Pass Accuracy 82%
29 Box Touches 29
10 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Racing Santander vs Almeria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Santander and Almeria shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Racing Santander had 37% of the ball to Almeria's 63%, shots finished 12-20, expected goals 2.95 to 2.10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Racing Santander and 1.33 for Almeria.

What was the final score of Racing Santander vs Almeria?

Racing Santander 2-2 Almeria in the Spain - 2nd Division on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Santander vs Almeria?

Before kick-off our model rated an Almeria win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Racing Santander 36%, draw 26%, Almeria 37%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Almeria) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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