Burgos vs Cartagena Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Burgos v Cartagena — Team-Based Signals
Burgos vs Cartagena Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-1
Burgos
İS2
0-0
HT 0-0
Burgos
İS2
1-0
HT 1-0
Cartagena
İS2
1-1
HT 1-0
Cartagena
İS2
1-0
HT 0-0
Burgos
İS2
Burgos 3-1 Cartagena — Actual Match Statistics
Burgos got the better of Cartagena 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Burgos as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Burgos had 56% of the ball to Cartagena's 44%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 2.54 to 1.37.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Burgos had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Burgos and 0.33 for Cartagena.
What was the final score of Burgos vs Cartagena?
Burgos 3-1 Cartagena in the Spain - 2nd Division on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Burgos vs Cartagena?
Before kick-off our model rated a Burgos win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Burgos 48%, draw 27%, Cartagena 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Burgos) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.