Sporting Gijon 1-2 Levante — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.02
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.62
Over 2.5
40%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.57
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.58
6+ Goals
8%
24.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.91
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.9
X/1
14%
4.37
X/2
10%
7.02
X/X
13%
3.97
2/1
7%
29.0
2/2
12%
5.67
2/X
10%
14.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-5.3pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.0pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
58%
+2.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
42%
-2.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.5pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Gijon EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Levante EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / -1%
1.31/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.16
+15% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +96%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 76%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
21.1 Crosses 13.9
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Gijon
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Levante
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.75 xG 1.39
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
307 Passes 338
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 2
10.03.2024 Levante Levante 1-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
09.12.2023 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 0-0 HT 0-0 Levante Levante İS2
06.01.2023 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 1-1 HT 0-1 Levante Levante İS2
31.10.2022 Levante Levante 1-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
04.04.2016 Levante Levante 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS1
22.11.2015 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 0-3 HT 0-3 Levante Levante İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Gijon
1-2
AWAY Levante
0.68 xG 0.90
69% Ball Possession 31%
12 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 1
490 Passes 196
83% Pass Accuracy 72%
34 Box Touches 20
29 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sporting Gijon vs Levante
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Levante squeezed past Sporting Gijon 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (40% / 31% / 29%) promised a tight game; Levante found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sporting Gijon had 69% of the ball to Levante's 31%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 0.68 to 0.90.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Levante led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Sporting Gijon and 1.00 for Levante.

What was the final score of Sporting Gijon vs Levante?

Sporting Gijon 1-2 Levante in the Spain - 2nd Division on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Gijon vs Levante?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Gijon win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sporting Gijon 40%, draw 31%, Levante 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Gijon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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