Xerez Deportivo 1-3 Deportiva Minera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 7 Sep 2025

📅07/09/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.52
Over 2.5
47%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
2.03
No
44%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+3.9pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.7pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-0.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
62%
-8.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
38%
+8.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
45%
+10.3pp
44%
BTTS No
55%
-10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Xerez Deportivo EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportiva Minera EU Bookmakers 37%
+2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
0.91/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.00
-19% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / +2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
324 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Xerez Deportivo
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Deportiva Minera
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 4
13.04.2025 Deportiva Minera Deportiva Minera 3-0 HT 2-0 Xerez Deportivo İS4
01.12.2024 Xerez Deportivo 2-1 HT 1-1 Deportiva Minera Deportiva Minera İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Xerez Deportivo
1-3
AWAY Deportiva Minera
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Xerez Deportivo vs Deportiva Minera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportiva Minera got the better of Xerez Deportivo 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Xerez Deportivo at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Xerez Deportivo had 56% of the ball to Deportiva Minera's 44%, shots finished 12-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Xerez Deportivo and 2.00 for Deportiva Minera.

What was the final score of Xerez Deportivo vs Deportiva Minera?

Xerez Deportivo 1-3 Deportiva Minera in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 07/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Xerez Deportivo vs Deportiva Minera?

Before kick-off our model rated a Xerez Deportivo win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Xerez Deportivo 41%, draw 26%, Deportiva Minera 33%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Xerez Deportivo), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Xerez Deportivo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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