Getafe II 3-2 Navalcarnero — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 7 Sep 2025

📅07/09/2025 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Over 2.5
38%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.06
No
59%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.7pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.8pp
29%
Away Win
29%
-0.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.6pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.1pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Getafe II EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Navalcarnero EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +7%
1.33/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/0.81
+10% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +39%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
287 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Getafe II
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Navalcarnero
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
09.03.2025 Getafe II Getafe II 0-1 HT 0-1 Navalcarnero Navalcarnero İS4
27.10.2024 Navalcarnero Navalcarnero 3-2 HT 0-2 Getafe II Getafe II İS4
17.03.2024 Navalcarnero Navalcarnero 0-0 HT 0-0 Getafe II Getafe II İS4
05.11.2023 Getafe II Getafe II 2-1 HT 1-0 Navalcarnero Navalcarnero İS4
31.01.2021 Navalcarnero Navalcarnero 0-0 HT 0-0 Getafe II Getafe II İS3
01.11.2020 Getafe II Getafe II 0-1 HT 0-0 Navalcarnero Navalcarnero İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Getafe II
3-2
AWAY Navalcarnero
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Getafe II vs Navalcarnero
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Getafe II edged past Navalcarnero 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 31% / 29% — and on the day Getafe II made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Getafe II had 50% of the ball to Navalcarnero's 50%, shots finished 13-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Navalcarnero led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Getafe II and 1.00 for Navalcarnero.

What was the final score of Getafe II vs Navalcarnero?

Getafe II 3-2 Navalcarnero in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 07/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Getafe II vs Navalcarnero?

Before kick-off our model rated a Getafe II win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Getafe II 40%, draw 31%, Navalcarnero 29%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Getafe II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Getafe II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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