Navalcarnero 3-2 Getafe II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
36%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.51
Over 2.5
40%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.06
No
59%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
-0.8pp
26%
Draw
31%
-4.3pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+5.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.9pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Navalcarnero EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Getafe II EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.09/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/0.80
-10% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +41%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
282 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Navalcarnero
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Getafe II
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.03.2024 Navalcarnero Navalcarnero 0-0 HT 0-0 Getafe II Getafe II İS4
05.11.2023 Getafe II Getafe II 2-1 HT 1-0 Navalcarnero Navalcarnero İS4
31.01.2021 Navalcarnero Navalcarnero 0-0 HT 0-0 Getafe II Getafe II İS3
01.11.2020 Getafe II Getafe II 0-1 HT 0-0 Navalcarnero Navalcarnero İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Navalcarnero
3-2
AWAY Getafe II
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
7 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Navalcarnero vs Getafe II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Navalcarnero edged past Getafe II 3-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and on the day Navalcarnero made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Navalcarnero had 54% of the ball to Getafe II's 46%, shots finished 12-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Navalcarnero and 0.50 for Getafe II.

What was the final score of Navalcarnero vs Getafe II?

Navalcarnero 3-2 Getafe II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Navalcarnero vs Getafe II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Navalcarnero win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Navalcarnero 38%, draw 26%, Getafe II 36%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Navalcarnero) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Navalcarnero) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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