Getafe II 0-1 Navalcarnero — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
22%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.59
Over 2.5
36%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.27
No
63%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
28%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
57%
-2.7pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.1pp
64%
Under 2.5
59%
+5.1pp
36%
Over 2.5
41%
-5.1pp
37%
BTTS Yes
40%
-3.0pp
63%
BTTS No
60%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Getafe II EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Navalcarnero EU Bookmakers 21%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -4%
2.21/0.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.22
+44% / +93% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +19%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
330 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.6 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Getafe II
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Navalcarnero
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 4
27.10.2024 Navalcarnero Navalcarnero 3-2 HT 0-2 Getafe II Getafe II İS4
17.03.2024 Navalcarnero Navalcarnero 0-0 HT 0-0 Getafe II Getafe II İS4
05.11.2023 Getafe II Getafe II 2-1 HT 1-0 Navalcarnero Navalcarnero İS4
31.01.2021 Navalcarnero Navalcarnero 0-0 HT 0-0 Getafe II Getafe II İS3
01.11.2020 Getafe II Getafe II 0-1 HT 0-0 Navalcarnero Navalcarnero İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Getafe II
0-1
AWAY Navalcarnero
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Getafe II vs Navalcarnero
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Navalcarnero squeezed past Getafe II 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Getafe II at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Getafe II had 45% of the ball to Navalcarnero's 55%, shots finished 8-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Navalcarnero led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Getafe II and 1.00 for Navalcarnero.

What was the final score of Getafe II vs Navalcarnero?

Getafe II 0-1 Navalcarnero in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Getafe II vs Navalcarnero?

Before kick-off our model rated a Getafe II win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Getafe II 54%, draw 24%, Navalcarnero 22%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Getafe II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Getafe II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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