Cacereno 1-0 Union Adarve — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.47
Draw
29%
3.8
Away
24%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.59
Over 2.5
39%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.53
No
59%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
5%
X/X
19%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
64%
-16.6pp
29%
Draw
23%
+5.8pp
24%
Away Win
13%
+10.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
36%
+5.7pp
59%
BTTS No
64%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cacereno EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Adarve EU Bookmakers 16%
-4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.45/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.34/1.38
-12% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / +22%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
343 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 4.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cacereno
0W-4D-1L
AWAY Union Adarve
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.10.2024 Union Adarve Union Adarve 0-0 HT 0-0 Cacereno Cacereno İS4
18.02.2024 Cacereno Cacereno 1-1 HT 0-1 Union Adarve Union Adarve İS4
08.10.2023 Union Adarve Union Adarve 2-2 HT 1-0 Cacereno Cacereno İS4
26.03.2023 Cacereno Cacereno 0-1 HT 0-0 Union Adarve Union Adarve İS4
06.11.2022 Union Adarve Union Adarve 0-0 HT 0-0 Cacereno Cacereno İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cacereno
1-0
AWAY Union Adarve
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cacereno vs Union Adarve
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cacereno edged past Union Adarve 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Cacereno as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Cacereno had 53% of the ball to Union Adarve's 47%, shots finished 11-12.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Union Adarve led the recent series with 1 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Cacereno and 0.80 for Union Adarve.

What was the final score of Cacereno vs Union Adarve?

Cacereno 1-0 Union Adarve in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cacereno vs Union Adarve?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cacereno win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Cacereno 47%, draw 29%, Union Adarve 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cacereno), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cacereno) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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