Atlético Paso 1-0 Conquense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.17
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
44%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.52
Over 2.5
33%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.13
No
62%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
20%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
28%
+0.2pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.7pp
44%
Away Win
42%
+1.5pp
67%
Under 2.5
62%
+4.7pp
33%
Over 2.5
38%
-4.7pp
38%
BTTS Yes
43%
-5.2pp
62%
BTTS No
57%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atlético Paso EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Conquense EU Bookmakers 46%
+10% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+35% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
190 · 59% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 211 · 60%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atlético Paso
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Conquense
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
1 Total Shots 13
0 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
27.10.2024 Conquense Conquense 3-0 HT 2-0 Atlético Paso Atlético Paso İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atlético Paso
1-0
AWAY Conquense
65% Ball Possession 35%
6 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atlético Paso vs Conquense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atlético Paso squeezed past Conquense 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Conquense at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, Atlético Paso had 65% of the ball to Conquense's 35%, shots finished 6-11.

What was the final score of Atlético Paso vs Conquense?

Atlético Paso 1-0 Conquense in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atlético Paso vs Conquense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Conquense win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Atlético Paso 28%, draw 28%, Conquense 44%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Conquense) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Conquense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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