Colonia Moscardo 1-0 Illescas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.54
Over 2.5
36%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.06
No
62%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.9pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.3pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+5.1pp
64%
Under 2.5
61%
+3.0pp
36%
Over 2.5
39%
-3.0pp
38%
BTTS Yes
44%
-6.4pp
62%
BTTS No
56%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colonia Moscardo EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Illescas EU Bookmakers 34%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.51/2.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.45
+25% / -55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -24%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
291 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colonia Moscardo
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Illescas
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.10.2024 Illescas 0-1 HT 0-0 Colonia Moscardo İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colonia Moscardo
1-0
AWAY Illescas
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Colonia Moscardo vs Illescas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colonia Moscardo nicked a narrow win over Illescas 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; Colonia Moscardo found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Colonia Moscardo had 42% of the ball to Illescas's 58%, shots finished 12-18.

What was the final score of Colonia Moscardo vs Illescas?

Colonia Moscardo 1-0 Illescas in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colonia Moscardo vs Illescas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colonia Moscardo win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Colonia Moscardo 39%, draw 26%, Illescas 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Colonia Moscardo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Colonia Moscardo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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