CD Guadalajara 1-0 Union Sur Yaiza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.42
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
17%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.86
Over 2.5
43%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.16
No
64%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
67%
-8.6pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.3pp
17%
Away Win
12%
+4.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
50%
+7.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
50%
-7.4pp
36%
BTTS Yes
42%
-5.8pp
64%
BTTS No
58%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Guadalajara EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Sur Yaiza EU Bookmakers 15%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.57/0.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/2.02
-5% / +89% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -17%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
369 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Guadalajara
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Union Sur Yaiza
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
27.10.2024 Union Sur Yaiza 2-2 HT 0-1 CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Guadalajara
1-0
AWAY Union Sur Yaiza
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH CD Guadalajara vs Union Sur Yaiza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Guadalajara edged past Union Sur Yaiza 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had CD Guadalajara as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (64%) came in.

On the day, CD Guadalajara had 57% of the ball to Union Sur Yaiza's 43%, shots finished 17-7.

What was the final score of CD Guadalajara vs Union Sur Yaiza?

CD Guadalajara 1-0 Union Sur Yaiza in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Guadalajara vs Union Sur Yaiza?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Guadalajara win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split CD Guadalajara 58%, draw 25%, Union Sur Yaiza 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Guadalajara), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CD Guadalajara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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