Union Sur Yaiza 2-2 CD Guadalajara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
31%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.59
Over 2.5
41%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.96
No
59%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
34%
+7.5pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.3pp
31%
Away Win
36%
-5.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.4pp
59%
BTTS No
53%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Sur Yaiza EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Guadalajara EU Bookmakers 40%
+47% / +47% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.33
+78% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -22%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
305 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.2
POST-MATCH Union Sur Yaiza vs CD Guadalajara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Sur Yaiza and CD Guadalajara shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Union Sur Yaiza at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Union Sur Yaiza vs CD Guadalajara?

Union Sur Yaiza 2-2 CD Guadalajara in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Sur Yaiza vs CD Guadalajara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Sur Yaiza win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Union Sur Yaiza 41%, draw 27%, CD Guadalajara 31%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Union Sur Yaiza) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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