Mostoles 1-3 CD Coria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.56
Over 2.5
45%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.6pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.2pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
60%
-5.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
40%
+5.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.8pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mostoles EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Coria EU Bookmakers 33%
-10% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +2%
1.12/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.00
-8% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
319 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mostoles
0W-0D-1L
AWAY CD Coria
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 11
4 Yellow Cards 4
26.10.2024 CD Coria CD Coria 3-1 HT 1-1 Mostoles İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mostoles
1-3
AWAY CD Coria
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Mostoles vs CD Coria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Coria saw off Mostoles 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Mostoles at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mostoles had 45% of the ball to CD Coria's 55%, shots finished 14-12.

What was the final score of Mostoles vs CD Coria?

Mostoles 1-3 CD Coria in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mostoles vs CD Coria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mostoles win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Mostoles 41%, draw 25%, CD Coria 33%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Mostoles) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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