Cacereno 1-1 Union Adarve — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.02
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.51
Over 2.5
45%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.16
No
54%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
46%
+2.3pp
24%
Draw
29%
-5.0pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
62%
-7.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
38%
+7.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.1pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cacereno EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Adarve EU Bookmakers 29%
-8% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +3%
1.13/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.08
-10% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
328 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cacereno
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Union Adarve
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.10.2023 Union Adarve Union Adarve 2-2 HT 1-0 Cacereno Cacereno İS4
26.03.2023 Cacereno Cacereno 0-1 HT 0-0 Union Adarve Union Adarve İS4
06.11.2022 Union Adarve Union Adarve 0-0 HT 0-0 Cacereno Cacereno İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cacereno
1-1
AWAY Union Adarve
65% Ball Possession 35%
13 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cacereno vs Union Adarve
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cacereno and Union Adarve shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Cacereno at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Cacereno had 65% of the ball to Union Adarve's 35%, shots finished 13-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Union Adarve led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Cacereno and 1.00 for Union Adarve.

What was the final score of Cacereno vs Union Adarve?

Cacereno 1-1 Union Adarve in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cacereno vs Union Adarve?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cacereno win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Cacereno 48%, draw 24%, Union Adarve 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cacereno), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cacereno) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS4 More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
18 Feb 2024
13:30 Athletic Bilbao II vs Deportivo Alaves II Analysis →
13:30 La Union Atletico vs UCAM Murcia Analysis →
14:00 Europa vs Talavera CF Analysis →
14:00 Cartagena II vs Orihuela Analysis →
14:00 Pena Deportiva vs Lleida Esportiu Analysis →
14:00 Montijo vs Mensajero Analysis →