Xerez Deportivo 2-1 Deportiva Minera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.48
Over 2.5
39%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.16
No
59%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.7pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.2pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
64%
-2.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
36%
+2.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.1pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Xerez Deportivo EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportiva Minera EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
0.99/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.01
-18% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -45%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
323 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Xerez Deportivo
2-1
AWAY Deportiva Minera
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Xerez Deportivo vs Deportiva Minera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Xerez Deportivo edged past Deportiva Minera 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 31%) promised a tight game; Xerez Deportivo found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Xerez Deportivo had 44% of the ball to Deportiva Minera's 56%, shots finished 11-10.

What was the final score of Xerez Deportivo vs Deportiva Minera?

Xerez Deportivo 2-1 Deportiva Minera in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Xerez Deportivo vs Deportiva Minera?

Before kick-off our model rated a Xerez Deportivo win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Xerez Deportivo 39%, draw 30%, Deportiva Minera 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Xerez Deportivo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Xerez Deportivo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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