Alta 3-3 Forward Madison — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 7 Sep 2025

📅07/09/2025 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.2pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.2pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.4pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alta EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Forward Madison EU Bookmakers 39%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -1%
0.82/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.24
-29% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
301 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
10.5 Crosses 15.3
4.0 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alta
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Forward Madison
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.22 xG 0.90
63% Ball Possession 37%
6 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
494 Passes 265
88% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 18
8 Crosses 12
5 Yellow Cards 1
03.08.2025 Forward Madison Forward Madison 0-0 HT 0-0 Alta Alta USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alta
3-3
AWAY Forward Madison
1.94 xG 1.98
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
460 Passes 273
87% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 30
17 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Alta vs Forward Madison
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alta and Forward Madison couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 2-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Alta had 61% of the ball to Forward Madison's 39%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 1.94 to 1.98.

What was the final score of Alta vs Forward Madison?

Alta 3-3 Forward Madison in the USA - USL League 1 on 07/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alta vs Forward Madison?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alta win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Alta 36%, draw 28%, Forward Madison 36%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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