Chattanooga Red Wolves 1-0 Charlotte Independence — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 7 Sep 2025

📅07/09/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
37%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.7
No
40%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.3pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.6pp
37%
Away Win
31%
+6.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.1pp
60%
BTTS Yes
55%
+4.9pp
40%
BTTS No
45%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chattanooga Red Wolves EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Charlotte Independence EU Bookmakers 34%
+8% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.41/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.69
+3% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
341 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
17.7 Crosses 17.8
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chattanooga Red Wolves
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Charlotte Independence
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.36 xG 2.04
49% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
328 Passes 358
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 26
21 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2025 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence 0-0 HT 0-0 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves USL1
17.07.2024 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves 0-2 HT 0-1 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence USL1
15.06.2024 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence 4-2 HT 1-2 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves USL1
10.09.2023 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence 3-0 HT 0-0 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves USL1
25.06.2023 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves 2-2 HT 0-2 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence USL1
28.05.2023 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence 3-0 HT 2-0 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chattanooga Red Wolves
1-0
AWAY Charlotte Independence
1.08 xG 0.59
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 3
269 Passes 347
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
35 Box Touches 15
35 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Charlotte Independence
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chattanooga Red Wolves squeezed past Charlotte Independence 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 25% / 37% — and on the day Chattanooga Red Wolves made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chattanooga Red Wolves had 46% of the ball to Charlotte Independence's 54%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 1.08 to 0.59.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Charlotte Independence led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Chattanooga Red Wolves and 2.33 for Charlotte Independence.

What was the final score of Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Charlotte Independence?

Chattanooga Red Wolves 1-0 Charlotte Independence in the USA - USL League 1 on 07/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Charlotte Independence?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chattanooga Red Wolves win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Chattanooga Red Wolves 38%, draw 25%, Charlotte Independence 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chattanooga Red Wolves) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chattanooga Red Wolves) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
USL1 More USA - USL League 1
7 Sep 2025
02:00 Naples vs Greenville Triumph Analysis →
02:30 Tormenta vs One Knoxville Analysis →
05:30 Alta vs Forward Madison Analysis →