Crotone 0-4 Avellino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 7 Oct 2024

📅07/10/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.56
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.6
6+ Goals
9%
24.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
-0.4pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.5pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.6pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crotone EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Avellino EU Bookmakers 34%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -5%
1.21/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.12
+0% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
285 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crotone
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Avellino
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.12.2023 Crotone Crotone 0-1 HT 0-1 Avellino Avellino İTC
06.02.2023 Avellino Avellino 3-1 HT 2-0 Crotone Crotone İTC
08.10.2022 Crotone Crotone 2-0 HT 1-0 Avellino Avellino İTC
26.03.2016 Avellino Avellino 0-0 HT 0-0 Crotone Crotone İTB
09.11.2015 Crotone Crotone 3-1 HT 1-0 Avellino Avellino İTB
28.04.2015 Crotone Crotone 2-0 HT 1-0 Avellino Avellino İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crotone
0-4
AWAY Avellino
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Crotone vs Avellino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avellino cruised past Crotone 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 34%) promised a tight game; Avellino found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Crotone had 44% of the ball to Avellino's 56%, shots finished 9-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crotone had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Crotone and 0.83 for Avellino.

What was the final score of Crotone vs Avellino?

Crotone 0-4 Avellino in the Italy - Serie C on 07/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crotone vs Avellino?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crotone win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Crotone 40%, draw 25%, Avellino 34%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Crotone), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Crotone) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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