Ternana 0-0 Campobasso — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 7 Oct 2024

📅07/10/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.72
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
22%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.59
Over 2.5
55%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.19
No
50%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.45
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
4.87
6+ Goals
10%
28.0
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.87 — our 26% vs market 15.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
21%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
55%
+0.1pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.0pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+3.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
59%
-13.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
41%
+13.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
42%
+8.7pp
50%
BTTS No
58%
-8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ternana EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Campobasso EU Bookmakers 21%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
2.05/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.62
+31% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
339 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ternana
0-0
AWAY Campobasso
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ternana vs Campobasso
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ternana and Campobasso fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

This one beat our numbers. Ternana carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ternana had 61% of the ball to Campobasso's 39%, shots finished 14-9.

What was the final score of Ternana vs Campobasso?

Ternana 0-0 Campobasso in the Italy - Serie C on 07/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ternana vs Campobasso?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ternana win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Ternana 55%, draw 23%, Campobasso 22%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ternana) ✗ Over 2.5
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