FeralpiSalo 1-0 AlbinoLeffe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 7 Oct 2024

📅07/10/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.56
Over 2.5
43%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.41
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
4.98
6+ Goals
11%
29.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
48%
+0.8pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.0pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.7pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FeralpiSalo EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY AlbinoLeffe EU Bookmakers 28%
+4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +9%
1.52/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.18
+6% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
365 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FeralpiSalo
4W-2D-0L
AWAY AlbinoLeffe
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.12.2022 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo 1-0 HT 1-0 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe İTC
03.09.2022 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe 0-1 HT 0-0 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo İTC
05.02.2022 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo 1-1 HT 1-1 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe İTC
29.09.2021 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe 0-1 HT 0-0 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo İTC
08.11.2015 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe 1-5 HT 0-3 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo İTC
01.03.2015 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo 1-1 HT 0-0 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FeralpiSalo
1-0
AWAY AlbinoLeffe
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FeralpiSalo vs AlbinoLeffe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FeralpiSalo edged past AlbinoLeffe 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FeralpiSalo as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, FeralpiSalo had 48% of the ball to AlbinoLeffe's 52%, shots finished 8-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FeralpiSalo had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for FeralpiSalo and 0.50 for AlbinoLeffe.

What was the final score of FeralpiSalo vs AlbinoLeffe?

FeralpiSalo 1-0 AlbinoLeffe in the Italy - Serie C on 07/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FeralpiSalo vs AlbinoLeffe?

Before kick-off our model rated a FeralpiSalo win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split FeralpiSalo 49%, draw 26%, AlbinoLeffe 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FeralpiSalo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FeralpiSalo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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