Emelec 0-0 Aucas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 7 Oct 2024

Emelec
0-0 HT 0-0
Aucas
📅07/10/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✓
Ecuador - Premier – 2024

Emelec vs Aucas Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.86
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.78
Over 2.5
41%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.82
No
57%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
50%
-7.8pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.6pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.3pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Emelec v Aucas — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Emelec EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Aucas EU Bookmakers 27%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +19%
1.16/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.39
-30% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +9%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
308 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 71%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
20.7 Crosses 13.7
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.5

Emelec vs Aucas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Emelec
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Aucas
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.98 xG 1.14
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
245 Passes 273
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.04.2024 Aucas Aucas 3-1 HT 3-0 Emelec Emelec EKV1
03.09.2023 Emelec Emelec 0-0 HT 0-0 Aucas Aucas EKV1
10.04.2023 Aucas Aucas 2-1 HT 1-0 Emelec Emelec EKV1
12.09.2022 Aucas Aucas 1-1 HT 0-0 Emelec Emelec EKV1
27.07.2022 Emelec Emelec 0-2 HT 0-1 Aucas Aucas EKVK
25.04.2022 Emelec Emelec 1-0 HT 1-0 Aucas Aucas EKV1

Emelec 0-0 Aucas — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Emelec
0-0
AWAY Aucas
1.18 xG 0.23
63% Ball Possession 37%
20 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 0
19 Corners 1
294 Passes 154
77% Pass Accuracy 66%
28 Box Touches 5
37 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Emelec vs Aucas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Emelec and Aucas played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Emelec at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Emelec had 63% of the ball to Aucas's 37%, shots finished 20-5, expected goals 1.18 to 0.23.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aucas led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Emelec and 1.33 for Aucas.

What was the final score of Emelec vs Aucas?

Emelec 0-0 Aucas in the Ecuador - Premier on 07/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Emelec vs Aucas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Emelec win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Emelec 42%, draw 29%, Aucas 29%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Emelec) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Emelec) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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