Macara 0-2 Delfin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 7 Oct 2024

📅07/10/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-6.0pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.8pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.3pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Macara EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Delfin EU Bookmakers 27%
+4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -3%
1.38/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.48
-8% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -17%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
288 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 72%
17.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.9
18.2 Crosses 14.8
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Macara
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Delfin
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.27 xG 0.96
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
286 Passes 230
77% Pass Accuracy 72%
17 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 3
19.04.2024 Delfin Delfin 1-1 HT 1-0 Macara Macara EKV1
26.07.2022 Macara Macara 1-2 HT 1-0 Delfin Delfin EKV1
07.03.2022 Delfin Delfin 1-0 HT 1-0 Macara Macara EKV1
27.09.2021 Macara Macara 2-3 HT 0-3 Delfin Delfin EKV1
14.04.2021 Delfin Delfin 2-0 HT 1-0 Macara Macara EKV1
11.11.2020 Delfin Delfin 1-2 HT 1-1 Macara Macara EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Macara
0-2
AWAY Delfin
0.99 xG 0.47
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
319 Passes 169
77% Pass Accuracy 62%
24 Box Touches 13
28 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Macara vs Delfin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Delfin got the better of Macara 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Macara at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Macara had 61% of the ball to Delfin's 39%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 0.99 to 0.47 — the balance of chances actually favoured Macara.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Delfin led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Macara and 1.67 for Delfin.

What was the final score of Macara vs Delfin?

Macara 0-2 Delfin in the Ecuador - Premier on 07/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Macara vs Delfin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Macara win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Macara 42%, draw 30%, Delfin 28%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Macara) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Macara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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