Junior 2-1 Patriotas Boyaca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 7 Oct 2024

📅07/10/2024 · 🕒03:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
24%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
61%
-9.6pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.5pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+8.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.3pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Junior EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Patriotas Boyaca EU Bookmakers 19%
+6% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -1%
1.65/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.35
+10% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -7%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
372 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 75%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.5
16.9 Crosses 11.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Junior
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Patriotas Boyaca
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.85 xG 0.70
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
400 Passes 240
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 8
18 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.03.2024 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca 1-0 HT 1-0 Junior Junior KOL
08.07.2022 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca 1-0 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
23.01.2022 Junior Junior 3-1 HT 2-1 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOL
02.10.2021 Junior Junior 1-0 HT 1-0 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOL
28.02.2021 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca 1-0 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
05.10.2020 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca 0-0 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Junior
2-1
AWAY Patriotas Boyaca
1.19 xG 1.23
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
322 Passes 231
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
30 Box Touches 5
19 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Junior vs Patriotas Boyaca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Junior nicked a narrow win over Patriotas Boyaca 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Junior as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Junior had 60% of the ball to Patriotas Boyaca's 40%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.19 to 1.23.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Patriotas Boyaca led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Junior and 0.67 for Patriotas Boyaca.

What was the final score of Junior vs Patriotas Boyaca?

Junior 2-1 Patriotas Boyaca in the Colombia - Primera on 07/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Junior vs Patriotas Boyaca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Junior win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Junior 51%, draw 24%, Patriotas Boyaca 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Junior) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Junior) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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