Santa Fe 0-0 Aguilas Doradas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 7 Oct 2024

📅07/10/2024 · 🕒01:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.96
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.45
Over 2.5
35%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.27
No
60%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
47%
-6.6pp
31%
Draw
31%
+0.7pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+5.9pp
65%
Under 2.5
65%
-0.1pp
35%
Over 2.5
35%
+0.1pp
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.2pp
60%
BTTS No
60%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Aguilas Doradas EU Bookmakers 25%
+8% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +9%
1.19/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.05
-10% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
304 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 73%
17.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
19.8 Crosses 13.1
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Fe
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Aguilas Doradas
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.92 xG 1.16
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
224 Passes 310
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.03.2024 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 1-1 HT 0-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
08.10.2023 Santa Fe Santa Fe 0-5 HT 0-2 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
27.04.2023 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 3-1 HT 3-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
09.03.2023 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 1-2 HT 0-1 Santa Fe Santa Fe CON CSA
15.07.2022 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 2-2 HT 1-2 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
26.01.2022 Santa Fe Santa Fe 3-0 HT 1-0 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Fe
0-0
AWAY Aguilas Doradas
1.09 xG 0.60
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 1
311 Passes 153
77% Pass Accuracy 62%
23 Box Touches 10
33 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Santa Fe vs Aguilas Doradas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Fe and Aguilas Doradas fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Santa Fe at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Santa Fe had 64% of the ball to Aguilas Doradas's 36%, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 1.09 to 0.60.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Santa Fe and 2.00 for Aguilas Doradas.

What was the final score of Santa Fe vs Aguilas Doradas?

Santa Fe 0-0 Aguilas Doradas in the Colombia - Primera on 07/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Fe vs Aguilas Doradas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Fe win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Santa Fe 41%, draw 31%, Aguilas Doradas 28%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Santa Fe) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Santa Fe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KOL More Colombia - Primera
7 Oct 2024
03:20 Junior vs Patriotas Boyaca Analysis →