Deportivo Maldonado vs Progreso Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Deportivo Maldonado v Progreso — Team-Based Signals
Deportivo Maldonado vs Progreso Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Deportivo Maldonado
URU
1-1
HT 0-1
Progreso
URU
1-1
HT 0-1
Deportivo Maldonado
URU
1-0
HT 0-0
Progreso
URU
Deportivo Maldonado 2-2 Progreso — Actual Match Statistics
Deportivo Maldonado and Progreso couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match split (38% / 24% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Deportivo Maldonado had 55% of the ball to Progreso's 45%, shots finished 9-15.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Deportivo Maldonado and 1.17 for Progreso.
What was the final score of Deportivo Maldonado vs Progreso?
Deportivo Maldonado 2-2 Progreso in the Uruguay - Premier League on 07/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Deportivo Maldonado vs Progreso?
Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Maldonado win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Maldonado 38%, draw 24%, Progreso 37%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.