Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Progreso v Deportivo Maldonado — Team-Based Signals
Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Deportivo Maldonado
URU
1-1
HT 0-1
Progreso
URU
1-1
HT 0-1
Deportivo Maldonado
URU
1-0
HT 0-0
Progreso
URU
Progreso 0-1 Deportivo Maldonado — Actual Match Statistics
Deportivo Maldonado edged past Progreso 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Progreso at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Progreso had 50% of the ball to Deportivo Maldonado's 50%, shots finished 8-16.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Progreso had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Progreso and 0.80 for Deportivo Maldonado.
What was the final score of Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado?
Progreso 0-1 Deportivo Maldonado in the Uruguay - Premier League on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado?
Before kick-off our model rated a Progreso win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Progreso 42%, draw 27%, Deportivo Maldonado 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Progreso) went the other way.