CA Penarol 2-0 Centro Atletico Fenix — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 21 Jul 2024

📅21/07/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.53
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.75
Over 2.5
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
27%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
61%
-9.4pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.1pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+7.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.0pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CA Penarol EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Centro Atletico Fenix EU Bookmakers 19%
-6% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +19%
1.54/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.36
-19% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +16%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
323 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CA Penarol
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Centro Atletico Fenix
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
57% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.06.2024 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix 0-1 HT 0-0 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
28.11.2023 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix 0-1 HT 0-0 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
29.04.2023 CA Penarol CA Penarol 2-0 HT 1-0 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix URU
02.08.2022 CA Penarol CA Penarol 0-1 HT 0-0 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix URU
11.07.2022 CA Penarol CA Penarol 0-0 HT 0-0 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix URU
05.02.2022 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix 1-0 HT 0-0 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CA Penarol
2-0
AWAY Centro Atletico Fenix
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH CA Penarol vs Centro Atletico Fenix
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CA Penarol got the better of Centro Atletico Fenix 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had CA Penarol as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, CA Penarol had 52% of the ball to Centro Atletico Fenix's 48%, shots finished 16-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA Penarol had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for CA Penarol and 0.33 for Centro Atletico Fenix.

What was the final score of CA Penarol vs Centro Atletico Fenix?

CA Penarol 2-0 Centro Atletico Fenix in the Uruguay - Premier League on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CA Penarol vs Centro Atletico Fenix?

Before kick-off our model rated a CA Penarol win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split CA Penarol 51%, draw 26%, Centro Atletico Fenix 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CA Penarol), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CA Penarol) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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