Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado Prediction — Model Probabilities
Progreso v Deportivo Maldonado — Team-Based Signals
Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
Progreso 3-1 Deportivo Maldonado — Actual Match Statistics
Progreso had too much for Deportivo Maldonado 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Progreso as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 50% and both teams to score at 54%.
On the day, Progreso had 52% of the ball to Deportivo Maldonado's 48%, shots finished 18-14.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Progreso and 0.75 for Deportivo Maldonado.
Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado Result & Final Score
Progreso 3 - 1 Deportivo Maldonado in the Uruguay - Premier League on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Progreso win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Progreso 43%, draw 27%, Deportivo Maldonado 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Progreso), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.