Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Progreso v Deportivo Maldonado — Team-Based Signals
Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Deportivo Maldonado
URU
1-1
HT 0-1
Progreso
URU
1-1
HT 0-1
Deportivo Maldonado
URU
1-0
HT 0-0
Progreso
URU
Progreso 3-1 Deportivo Maldonado — Actual Match Statistics
Progreso saw off Deportivo Maldonado 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Progreso as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Progreso had 52% of the ball to Deportivo Maldonado's 48%, shots finished 18-14.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Progreso and 0.75 for Deportivo Maldonado.
What was the final score of Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado?
Progreso 3-1 Deportivo Maldonado in the Uruguay - Premier League on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado?
Before kick-off our model rated a Progreso win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Progreso 42%, draw 25%, Deportivo Maldonado 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Progreso), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.