Miramar Misiones 2-2 Cerro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
37%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.62
Over 2.5
48%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-4.5pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.9pp
37%
Away Win
31%
+6.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
58%
-6.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
42%
+6.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.2pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Miramar Misiones EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerro EU Bookmakers 34%
-33% / -33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +21%
1.45/1.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/0.92
+22% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +27%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
285 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 4.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Miramar Misiones
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Cerro
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
01.10.2022 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones 0-2 HT 0-0 Cerro Cerro URU2
15.08.2022 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones 4-1 HT 3-1 Cerro Cerro URU2
20.04.2014 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones 0-1 HT 0-0 Cerro Cerro URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Miramar Misiones
2-2
AWAY Cerro
62% Ball Possession 38%
9 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Miramar Misiones vs Cerro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Miramar Misiones and Cerro couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Miramar Misiones had 62% of the ball to Cerro's 38%, shots finished 9-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Cerro led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Miramar Misiones and 1.33 for Cerro.

What was the final score of Miramar Misiones vs Cerro?

Miramar Misiones 2-2 Cerro in the Uruguay - Premier League on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Miramar Misiones vs Cerro?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cerro win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Miramar Misiones 36%, draw 27%, Cerro 37%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cerro), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cerro) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
URU More Uruguay - Premier League
31 Mar 2024
01:00 Defensor Sporting vs Danubio Analysis →
21:00 Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado Analysis →