Ballymena United 1-0 Ballinamallard United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - League Cup, 7 Oct 2025

Ballymena United
1-0 HT 1-0
Ballinamallard United
📅07/10/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
North Ireland - League Cup – 2025/2026

Ballymena United vs Ballinamallard United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
74%
1.25
Draw
17%
5.28
Away
9%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.38
Over 2.5
54%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.06
No
50%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.7
2-3 Goals
39%
1.9
4-5 Goals
24%
2.66
6+ Goals
13%
6.84
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
49%
1.39
1/2
3%
35.0
1/X
5%
24.0
X/1
14%
3.78
X/2
3%
24.45
X/X
8%
8.57
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
23.55
2/2
4%
21.8
2/X
3%
29.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.55 — our 11% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
74%
Home Win
76%
-1.5pp
17%
Draw
16%
+1.0pp
9%
Away Win
8%
+0.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.2pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ballymena United v Ballinamallard United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ballymena United EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Ballinamallard United EU Bookmakers 11%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-24% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
463 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 202 · 69%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.0 Yellow Cards –

Ballymena United vs Ballinamallard United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ballymena United
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Ballinamallard United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
The Meetings
29.02.2020 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 0-2 HT 0-1 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRK
14.11.2015 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 0-1 HT 0-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
19.09.2015 Ballymena United Ballymena United 1-1 HT 0-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL
18.04.2015 Ballymena United Ballymena United 2-1 HT 1-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL
16.12.2014 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 2-3 HT 1-1 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRLK
06.09.2014 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 3-0 HT 1-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
POST-MATCH Ballymena United vs Ballinamallard United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ballymena United squeezed past Ballinamallard United 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ballymena United as the likeliest winner at 74%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ballymena United had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ballymena United and 1.17 for Ballinamallard United.

What was the final score of Ballymena United vs Ballinamallard United?

Ballymena United 1-0 Ballinamallard United in the North Ireland - League Cup on 07/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ballymena United vs Ballinamallard United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ballymena United win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split Ballymena United 74%, draw 17%, Ballinamallard United 9%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ballymena United) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ballymena United) ✗ Over 2.5
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