Newington Youth 3-1 Limavady United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - League Cup, 7 Oct 2025

📅07/10/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.87
Draw
20%
3.8
Away
51%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.23
Over 2.5
59%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.28
2-3 Goals
43%
1.85
4-5 Goals
23%
2.78
6+ Goals
12%
7.86
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
6.83
1/2 EV+ ✗
12%
20.45
1/X
3%
15.1
X/1
6%
9.42
X/2
20%
4.44
X/X
14%
5.97
2/1
3%
35.0
2/2
20%
2.17
2/X
3%
13.85
Value flag · 1/2 at 20.45 — our 12% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
23%
+6.7pp
19%
Draw
23%
-3.6pp
51%
Away Win
54%
-3.1pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.1pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newington Youth EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Limavady United EU Bookmakers 58%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
266 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 407 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newington Youth
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Limavady United
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
13.09.2025 Limavady United Limavady United 0-0 HT 0-0 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
01.03.2025 Newington Youth Newington Youth 1-2 Limavady United Limavady United KİRL1
30.11.2024 Limavady United Limavady United 4-1 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
14.09.2024 Newington Youth Newington Youth 0-0 HT 0-0 Limavady United Limavady United KİRL1
POST-MATCH Newington Youth vs Limavady United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newington Youth beat Limavady United 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Limavady United at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Limavady United led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Newington Youth and 1.50 for Limavady United.

What was the final score of Newington Youth vs Limavady United?

Newington Youth 3-1 Limavady United in the North Ireland - League Cup on 07/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newington Youth vs Limavady United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Limavady United win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Newington Youth 29%, draw 19%, Limavady United 51%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Limavady United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Limavady United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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