Cliftonville 4-1 Coagh United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - League Cup, 7 Oct 2025

📅07/10/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
78%
1.11
Draw
13%
8.11
Away
9%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
3.59
Over 2.5
65%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.53
No
49%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
8.5
2-3 Goals
36%
2.38
4-5 Goals
27%
2.27
6+ Goals
20%
3.53
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
46%
1.06
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
3%
35.0
X/1
23%
4.18
X/2
4%
35.0
X/X
6%
18.95
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
35.0
2/2
2%
35.0
2/X
3%
35.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 35.0 — our 9% vs market 0.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
78%
Home Win
85%
-6.6pp
13%
Draw
9%
+3.6pp
9%
Away Win
6%
+2.9pp
35%
Under 2.5
24%
+11.1pp
65%
Over 2.5
76%
-11.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
36%
+15.6pp
49%
BTTS No
64%
-15.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cliftonville EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Coagh United EU Bookmakers 9%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+23% / -57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
420 · 89% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Cliftonville vs Coagh United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cliftonville ran out comfortable winners over Coagh United 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cliftonville as the likeliest winner at 78%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Cliftonville vs Coagh United?

Cliftonville 4-1 Coagh United in the North Ireland - League Cup on 07/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cliftonville vs Coagh United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cliftonville win the most likely single outcome at about 78%, with the full match-result split Cliftonville 78%, draw 13%, Coagh United 9%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cliftonville), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cliftonville) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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