Bangor FC 4-1 Lisburn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - League Cup, 7 Oct 2025

📅07/10/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
79%
1.16
Draw
13%
7.78
Away
8%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
27%
3.14
Over 2.5
73%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.44
No
49%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
12%
7.42
2-3 Goals EV+ ✗
43%
2.24
4-5 Goals
29%
2.31
6+ Goals
16%
4.05
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 2.24 — our 43% vs market 37.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
62%
1.13
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
3%
35.0
X/1
13%
3.92
X/2
2%
35.0
X/X
5%
15.4
2/1
4%
28.0
2/2
2%
35.0
2/X
5%
35.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
79%
Home Win
82%
-3.6pp
13%
Draw
10%
+2.4pp
8%
Away Win
7%
+1.2pp
27%
Under 2.5
28%
-1.3pp
73%
Over 2.5
72%
+1.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
37%
+13.9pp
49%
BTTS No
63%
-13.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bangor FC EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Lisburn EU Bookmakers 9%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
4.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/4.00
+24% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -28%
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
473 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 6.0
POST-MATCH Bangor FC vs Lisburn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bangor FC ran out comfortable winners over Lisburn 4-1. Half-time: 4-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bangor FC as the likeliest winner at 79%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (73%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Bangor FC vs Lisburn?

Bangor FC 4-1 Lisburn in the North Ireland - League Cup on 07/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bangor FC vs Lisburn?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bangor FC win the most likely single outcome at about 79%, with the full match-result split Bangor FC 79%, draw 13%, Lisburn 8%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bangor FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bangor FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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