Eastern 1-2 Kaya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFCŞL2, 7 Nov 2024

Eastern
1-2 HT 0-1
Kaya
📅07/11/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.47
Draw
30%
4.34
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.51
Over 2.5
46%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.63
No
55%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
5.33
2-3 Goals
43%
1.99
4-5 Goals
20%
2.68
6+ Goals
9%
6.66
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.33 — our 28% vs market 14.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
64%
-16.3pp
30%
Draw
20%
+9.7pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+6.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
36%
+18.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
64%
-18.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
57%
-12.7pp
55%
BTTS No
43%
+12.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eastern EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Kaya EU Bookmakers 20%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
339 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eastern
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Kaya
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.10.2024 Kaya Kaya 1-2 HT 1-1 Eastern Eastern AFCŞL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eastern
1-2
AWAY Kaya
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Eastern vs Kaya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kaya nicked a narrow win over Eastern 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Eastern at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Eastern had 64% of the ball to Kaya's 36%, shots finished 18-14.

What was the final score of Eastern vs Kaya?

Eastern 1-2 Kaya in the AFCŞL2 on 07/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eastern vs Kaya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eastern win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Eastern 47%, draw 30%, Kaya 23%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Eastern) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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