Sydney 0-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFCŞL2, 7 Nov 2024

📅07/11/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.29
Over 2.5
50%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.5
No
50%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
4.68
2-3 Goals
42%
1.91
4-5 Goals
22%
2.85
6+ Goals
10%
7.97
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.68 — our 26% vs market 16.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.1pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.4pp
33%
Away Win
33%
-0.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
40%
+10.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
60%
-10.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
62%
-12.5pp
50%
BTTS No
38%
+12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sydney EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
385 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sydney
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.10.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-1 HT 1-0 Sydney Sydney AFCŞL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sydney
0-1
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sydney vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanfrecce Hiroshima squeezed past Sydney 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Sydney at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Sydney had 60% of the ball to Sanfrecce Hiroshima's 40%, shots finished 12-6.

What was the final score of Sydney vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Sydney 0-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima in the AFCŞL2 on 07/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sydney vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sydney win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sydney 42%, draw 25%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 33%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sydney)
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