Zhejiang G. FC 1-2 Thai Port FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFCŞL2, 7 Nov 2024

📅07/11/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.03
Over 2.5
44%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.89
2-3 Goals
45%
1.84
4-5 Goals
19%
3.16
6+ Goals
8%
10.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.89 — our 28% vs market 20.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.4pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.8pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
45%
+10.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
55%
-10.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.4pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zhejiang G. FC EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Thai Port FC EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
341 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zhejiang G. FC
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Thai Port FC
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
24.10.2024 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC AFCŞL2
22.08.2023 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC AŞMP
POST-MATCH Zhejiang G. FC vs Thai Port FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thai Port FC edged past Zhejiang G. FC 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Zhejiang G. FC at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Zhejiang G. FC and 0.50 for Thai Port FC.

What was the final score of Zhejiang G. FC vs Thai Port FC?

Zhejiang G. FC 1-2 Thai Port FC in the AFCŞL2 on 07/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zhejiang G. FC vs Thai Port FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zhejiang G. FC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Zhejiang G. FC 41%, draw 28%, Thai Port FC 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Zhejiang G. FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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