Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-1 Sydney — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFCŞL2, 23 Oct 2024

📅23/10/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
28%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.59
Over 2.5
56%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.57
2-3 Goals
40%
2.02
4-5 Goals
26%
2.64
6+ Goals
11%
6.29
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
67%
-18.1pp
23%
Draw
19%
+4.6pp
28%
Away Win
15%
+13.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
35%
+9.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
65%
-9.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.6pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Sydney EU Bookmakers 17%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
422 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2-1
AWAY Sydney
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Sydney
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanfrecce Hiroshima edged past Sydney 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sanfrecce Hiroshima as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sanfrecce Hiroshima had 39% of the ball to Sydney's 61%, shots finished 12-17.

What was the final score of Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Sydney?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-1 Sydney in the AFCŞL2 on 23/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Sydney?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Sanfrecce Hiroshima 48%, draw 23%, Sydney 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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