Al Hussein 2-1 Nasaf Qarshi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFCŞL2, 23 Oct 2024

📅23/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
39%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.56
Over 2.5
36%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
1.99
No
63%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
41%
2.35
2-3 Goals
35%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
5.15
6+ Goals
7%
31.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.35 — our 41% vs market 36.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-0.8pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.8pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+2.6pp
64%
Under 2.5
60%
+3.4pp
36%
Over 2.5
40%
-3.4pp
37%
BTTS Yes
46%
-9.4pp
63%
BTTS No
54%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Hussein EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Nasaf Qarshi EU Bookmakers 40%
+48% / +48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
+78% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
309 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Hussein
2-1
AWAY Nasaf Qarshi
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Hussein vs Nasaf Qarshi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Hussein edged past Nasaf Qarshi 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 28% / 39% — and on the day Al Hussein made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Hussein had 54% of the ball to Nasaf Qarshi's 46%, shots finished 18-9.

What was the final score of Al Hussein vs Nasaf Qarshi?

Al Hussein 2-1 Nasaf Qarshi in the AFCŞL2 on 23/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Hussein vs Nasaf Qarshi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nasaf Qarshi win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Al Hussein 33%, draw 28%, Nasaf Qarshi 39%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nasaf Qarshi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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