Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1-2 Khalidiya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFCŞL2, 23 Oct 2024

📅23/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.57
2-3 Goals
46%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
3.37
6+ Goals
8%
12.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.57 — our 27% vs market 22.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-4.6pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.2pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+5.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.2pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Quwa Al Jawiya EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Khalidiya EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
392 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1-2
AWAY Khalidiya
58% Ball Possession 42%
7 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Khalidiya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Khalidiya edged past Al Quwa Al Jawiya 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Al Quwa Al Jawiya at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Al Quwa Al Jawiya had 58% of the ball to Khalidiya's 42%, shots finished 7-10.

What was the final score of Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Khalidiya?

Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1-2 Khalidiya in the AFCŞL2 on 23/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Khalidiya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Quwa Al Jawiya win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Al Quwa Al Jawiya 49%, draw 24%, Khalidiya 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Quwa Al Jawiya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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