Ascoli 1-1 Gubbio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 7 Nov 2025

📅07/11/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.82
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
22%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.52
Over 2.5
45%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.19
No
48%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.2
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
5.14
6+ Goals
12%
32.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
51%
-3.6pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.2pp
22%
Away Win
21%
+1.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
42%
+10.3pp
48%
BTTS No
58%
-10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ascoli EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Gubbio EU Bookmakers 24%
-22% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +5%
1.01/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.46
-29% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
293 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ascoli
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Gubbio
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
05.04.2025 Gubbio Gubbio 0-0 HT 0-0 Ascoli Ascoli İTC
24.11.2024 Ascoli Ascoli 1-0 HT 1-0 Gubbio Gubbio İTC
11.08.2024 Ascoli Ascoli 2-1 HT 1-0 Gubbio Gubbio İTCK
26.10.2014 Ascoli Ascoli 2-2 HT 0-0 Gubbio Gubbio İTC
09.08.2014 Gubbio Gubbio 3-4 HT 2-1 Ascoli Ascoli İTCK
27.04.2014 Gubbio Gubbio 1-0 HT 0-0 Ascoli Ascoli İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ascoli
1-1
AWAY Gubbio
78% Ball Possession 22%
10 Total Shots 2
2 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ascoli vs Gubbio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ascoli and Gubbio shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Ascoli at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Ascoli had 78% of the ball to Gubbio's 22%, shots finished 10-2.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ascoli had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ascoli and 1.17 for Gubbio.

What was the final score of Ascoli vs Gubbio?

Ascoli 1-1 Gubbio in the Italy - Serie C on 07/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ascoli vs Gubbio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ascoli win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Ascoli 47%, draw 30%, Gubbio 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ascoli) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ascoli) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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