Ascoli 1-0 Gubbio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.51
Over 2.5
42%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.16
No
53%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.26
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
19%
5.57
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-5.7pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.1pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.7pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ascoli EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Gubbio EU Bookmakers 27%
-25% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -16%
0.71/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.37
-50% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
284 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ascoli
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Gubbio
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 5
11.08.2024 Ascoli Ascoli 2-1 HT 1-0 Gubbio Gubbio İTCK
26.10.2014 Ascoli Ascoli 2-2 HT 0-0 Gubbio Gubbio İTC
09.08.2014 Gubbio Gubbio 3-4 HT 2-1 Ascoli Ascoli İTCK
27.04.2014 Gubbio Gubbio 1-0 HT 0-0 Ascoli Ascoli İTC
15.12.2013 Ascoli Ascoli 0-0 HT 0-0 Gubbio Gubbio İTC
21.01.2012 Ascoli Ascoli 2-1 HT 1-0 Gubbio Gubbio İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ascoli
1-0
AWAY Gubbio
49% Ball Possession 51%
5 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ascoli vs Gubbio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ascoli nicked a narrow win over Gubbio 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ascoli as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Ascoli had 49% of the ball to Gubbio's 51%, shots finished 5-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ascoli had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Ascoli and 1.33 for Gubbio.

What was the final score of Ascoli vs Gubbio?

Ascoli 1-0 Gubbio in the Italy - Serie C on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ascoli vs Gubbio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ascoli win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ascoli 42%, draw 27%, Gubbio 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ascoli), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ascoli) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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