Lommel United 2-2 Waasland-Beveren — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 7 Nov 2025

📅07/11/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.99
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
52%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
1.97
Over 2.5
61%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.66
No
43%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.54
2-3 Goals
44%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.17
6+ Goals
12%
11.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
30%
-2.8pp
21%
Draw
25%
-4.4pp
52%
Away Win
45%
+7.3pp
39%
Under 2.5
47%
-7.6pp
61%
Over 2.5
53%
+7.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.5pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lommel United EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Waasland-Beveren EU Bookmakers 49%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +16%
1.28/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/1.06
-3% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +11%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 80%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.1
14.5 Crosses 19.3
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lommel United
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Waasland-Beveren
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.16 xG 1.12
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
363 Passes 346
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.02.2025 Lommel United Lommel United 1-2 HT 0-2 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren BEL2
17.08.2024 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren 2-1 HT 1-0 Lommel United Lommel United BEL2
12.11.2023 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren 2-2 HT 0-1 Lommel United Lommel United BEL2
27.11.2022 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren 2-3 HT 1-2 Lommel United Lommel United BEL2
04.09.2022 Lommel United Lommel United 0-2 HT 0-1 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren BEL2
19.03.2022 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren 1-1 HT 1-0 Lommel United Lommel United BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lommel United
2-2
AWAY Waasland-Beveren
0.73 xG 0.64
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
368 Passes 330
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
6 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lommel United vs Waasland-Beveren
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lommel United and Waasland-Beveren couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Waasland-Beveren at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Lommel United had 51% of the ball to Waasland-Beveren's 49%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 0.73 to 0.64.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Waasland-Beveren led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Lommel United and 1.83 for Waasland-Beveren.

What was the final score of Lommel United vs Waasland-Beveren?

Lommel United 2-2 Waasland-Beveren in the Belgium - 1st Division on 07/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lommel United vs Waasland-Beveren?

Before kick-off our model rated an Waasland-Beveren win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Lommel United 27%, draw 21%, Waasland-Beveren 52%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Waasland-Beveren) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Waasland-Beveren) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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