Palmeiras 2-0 Santos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 7 Nov 2025

📅07/11/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
73%
1.37
Draw
14%
4.49
Away
13%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.07
Over 2.5
56%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.77
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
26%
3.09
6+ Goals
11%
10.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1.61
1/2
3%
35.0
1/X
4%
19.45
X/1
21%
3.76
X/2
5%
16.5
X/X
5%
6.65
2/1
11%
23.1
2/2
5%
14.65
2/X
4%
22.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
73%
Home Win
69%
+4.3pp
13%
Draw
19%
-5.7pp
13%
Away Win
12%
+1.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.2pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Palmeiras EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Santos EU Bookmakers 15%
-3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +18%
1.97/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.74
+10% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -1%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
410 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 74%
27.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.3
25.2 Crosses 14.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Palmeiras
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Santos
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.35 xG 1.04
61% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
433 Passes 242
86% Pass Accuracy 75%
24 Box Touches 20
25 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
08.10.2023 Palmeiras Palmeiras 1-2 HT 1-1 Santos Santos BR1
21.05.2023 Santos Santos 0-0 HT 0-0 Palmeiras Palmeiras BR1
05.02.2023 Palmeiras Palmeiras 3-1 HT 2-0 Santos Santos BREPAU
19.09.2022 Palmeiras Palmeiras 1-0 HT 0-0 Santos Santos BR1
29.05.2022 Santos Santos 0-1 HT 0-0 Palmeiras Palmeiras BR1
14.03.2022 Palmeiras Palmeiras 1-0 HT 1-0 Santos Santos BREPAU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Palmeiras
2-0
AWAY Santos
2.10 xG 0.43
54% Ball Possession 46%
31 Total Shots 9
14 Shots on Target 3
13 Corners 5
294 Passes 249
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
44 Box Touches 19
24 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Palmeiras vs Santos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Palmeiras got the better of Santos 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Palmeiras as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Palmeiras had 54% of the ball to Santos's 46%, shots finished 31-9, expected goals 2.10 to 0.43.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palmeiras had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Palmeiras and 0.50 for Santos.

What was the final score of Palmeiras vs Santos?

Palmeiras 2-0 Santos in the Brazil - Serie A on 07/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Palmeiras vs Santos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Palmeiras win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Palmeiras 73%, draw 13%, Santos 13%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Palmeiras), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Palmeiras) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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