Fluminense 1-0 Mirassol FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 7 Nov 2025

Fluminense
1-0 HT 1-0
Mirassol FC
📅07/11/2025 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2025

Fluminense vs Mirassol FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.76
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
20%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.67
Over 2.5
38%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
35%
2.63
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
16%
4.22
6+ Goals
7%
21.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.63 — our 35% vs market 31.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.37
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.05
X/1 EV+ ✗
25%
4.25
X/2
8%
9.25
X/X
15%
4.21
2/1
6%
27.5
2/2
9%
7.92
2/X
6%
15.75
Value flag · X/1 at 4.25 — our 25% vs market 18.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
53%
-1.9pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.8pp
20%
Away Win
20%
+0.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.5pp
38%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.0pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fluminense v Mirassol FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fluminense EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Mirassol FC EU Bookmakers 23%
+1% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.55/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.52
-5% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
358 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 80%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
22.3 Crosses 20.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6

Fluminense vs Mirassol FC Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fluminense
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Mirassol FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.88 xG 1.20
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
342 Passes 253
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
09.10.2025 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC 2-1 HT 1-0 Fluminense Fluminense BR1

Fluminense 1-0 Mirassol FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fluminense
1-0
AWAY Mirassol FC
2.48 xG 1.41
43% Ball Possession 57%
16 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
282 Passes 381
83% Pass Accuracy 85%
29 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fluminense vs Mirassol FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fluminense edged past Mirassol FC 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Fluminense as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Fluminense had 43% of the ball to Mirassol FC's 57%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 2.48 to 1.41.

What was the final score of Fluminense vs Mirassol FC?

Fluminense 1-0 Mirassol FC in the Brazil - Serie A on 07/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fluminense vs Mirassol FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fluminense win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Fluminense 51%, draw 29%, Mirassol FC 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fluminense), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fluminense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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