Spartak Varna vs Septemvri Sofia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Spartak Varna v Septemvri Sofia — Team-Based Signals
Spartak Varna vs Septemvri Sofia Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-0
Septemvri Sofia
BULB
1-0
HT 0-0
Septemvri Sofia
BUL1
2-0
HT 1-0
Septemvri Sofia
BUL1
Spartak Varna 1-4 Septemvri Sofia — Actual Match Statistics
Septemvri Sofia swept aside Spartak Varna 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Spartak Varna at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Spartak Varna had 43% of the ball to Septemvri Sofia's 57%, shots finished 14-15.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Spartak Varna had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Spartak Varna and 0.80 for Septemvri Sofia.
What was the final score of Spartak Varna vs Septemvri Sofia?
Spartak Varna 1-4 Septemvri Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 07/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Spartak Varna vs Septemvri Sofia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Spartak Varna win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Spartak Varna 44%, draw 29%, Septemvri Sofia 26%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Spartak Varna) went the other way.