Spartak Varna vs Septemvri Sofia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Spartak Varna v Septemvri Sofia — Team-Based Signals
Spartak Varna vs Septemvri Sofia Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-0
Septemvri Sofia
BULB
1-0
HT 0-0
Septemvri Sofia
BUL1
2-0
HT 1-0
Septemvri Sofia
BUL1
Spartak Varna 4-2 Septemvri Sofia — Actual Match Statistics
Spartak Varna saw off Septemvri Sofia 4-2. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 30%) promised a tight game; Spartak Varna found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Spartak Varna had 46% of the ball to Septemvri Sofia's 54%, shots finished 14-11.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Spartak Varna had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Spartak Varna and 0.50 for Septemvri Sofia.
What was the final score of Spartak Varna vs Septemvri Sofia?
Spartak Varna 4-2 Septemvri Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Spartak Varna vs Septemvri Sofia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Spartak Varna win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Spartak Varna 40%, draw 30%, Septemvri Sofia 30%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spartak Varna), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.